tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 4848 at 15:15, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 4848 Southwest Flight history → BNA 15:15 PBI 18:25 19% 5% 0.6% 42%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:00 → LGA 09:23AA 4411 · flown by Republic 2h 17m New York LGA 11:40 → PBI 14:48AA 4475 · flown by Republic 7h 48m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → BNA 06:00 → ORD 07:58UA 451 2h 52m Chicago ORD 10:50 → PBI 14:51UA 2342 7h 51m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 15:27 → PBI 17:22DL 1458 6h 34m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190 6h 44m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 3h 36m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → PBI 18:36DL 959 6h 42m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → BNA 08:33 → ATL 10:40DL 2250 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838 6h 17m 95% 80%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 1h 22m Atlanta ATL 09:52 → PBI 11:45DL 1527 4h 27m 96% 80%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:10 → EWR 11:29UA 2690 1h 38m Newark EWR 13:07 → PBI 16:09UA 1797 6h 59m 97% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BNA 15:35 → EWR 19:00UA 2848 1h 19m Newark EWR 20:19 → PBI 23:28UA 2650 6h 53m 72% 55%
AmericanDetails → BNA 19:19 → CLT 21:55AA 1497 1h 01m Charlotte CLT 22:56 → PBI 00:51 +1AA 1764 4h 32m 70% 48%
AmericanDetails → BNA 15:31 → DFW 17:44AA 1475 1h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:50 → PBI 22:45AA 2467 6h 14m 70% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON