tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 8:17 am at Columbia)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
UA 4607 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record CAE 11:18 EWR 13:29 5% 3% 3.2% 95%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Newark on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CAE 11:03 → ORD 12:25UA 4189 · flown by GoJet 2h 00m Chicago ORD 14:25 → EWR 18:00UA 2329 6h 57m 97% 75%
DeltaDetails → CAE 17:59 → ATL 19:16DL 3032 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:40 → EWR 00:58 +1DL 2552 6h 59m 98% 74%
DeltaDetails → CAE 15:51 → ATL 16:59DL 3193 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 20:08 → EWR 22:29DL 2527 6h 38m 98% 69%
UnitedDetails → CAE 17:49 → ORD 19:06UA 4783 · flown by SkyWest 2h 24m Chicago ORD 21:30 → EWR 00:53 +1UA 1209 7h 04m 94% 69%
DeltaDetails → CAE 11:58 → ATL 13:10DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 15:33 → EWR 17:54DL 2340 5h 56m 99% 69%
DeltaDetails → CAE 10:10 → ATL 11:16DL 1010 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 13:09 → EWR 15:24DL 2322 5h 14m 99% 69%
AmericanDetails → CAE 14:37 → CLT 15:36AA 5143 · flown by PSA 2h 45m Charlotte CLT 18:21 → EWR 20:30AA 1071 5h 53m 100% 66%
DeltaDetails → CAE 13:47 → ATL 14:56DL 2944 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 18:35 → EWR 20:54DL 2498 7h 07m 99% 64%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → CAE 17:49 → ORD 19:06UA 4783 · flown by SkyWest 1h 01m Chicago ORD 20:07 → EWR 23:39UA 759 5h 50m 75% 59%
AmericanDetails → CAE 16:10 → CLT 17:27AA 6046 · flown by Piedmont 54m Charlotte CLT 18:21 → EWR 20:30AA 1071 4h 20m 71% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON