Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:08 am at Chattanooga)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops today


DL 4890 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHA 06:04	LGA 08:15	13%	6%	3.9%	87%
DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHA 16:46	LGA 18:59	24%	14%	17.1%	76%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHA 05:35 → ATL 06:29DL 1044	1h 01m Atlanta	ATL 07:30 → LGA 09:39DL 323	4h 04m	100%	84%
American Details →	CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont	2h 48m Charlotte	CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150	6h 15m	100%	80%
United Details →	CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet	2h 01m Chicago	ORD 09:00 → LGA 12:23UA 709	6h 23m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	CHA 06:00 → DTW 07:55DL 4652 · flown by Endeavor	57m Detroit	DTW 08:52 → LGA 10:40DL 1791	4h 40m	89%	76%
Delta Details →	CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:41DL 3057	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	6h 02m	99%	74%
American Details →	CHA 06:13 → ORD 07:35AA 4512 · flown by Republic	2h 41m Chicago	ORD 10:16 → LGA 13:43AA 3128	7h 30m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	5h 49m	97%	72%
Delta Details →	CHA 13:10 → ATL 14:08DL 1737	3h 52m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434	7h 17m	100%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CHA 08:24 → ATL 09:28DL 5448 · flown by Endeavor	1h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	4h 18m	70%	52%
Delta Details →	CHA 19:19 → ATL 20:19DL 3579 · flown by SkyWest	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 21:52 → LGA 23:59DL 9961	4h 40m	67%	46%
American Details →	CHA 16:22 → DFW 17:44AA 2121	1h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:00 → LGA 23:23AA 1375	7h 01m	72%	42%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON