tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 7:49 am at Cleveland); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 10:48, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 55% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLE 10:48 → MSP 11:49DL 2847 2h 36m Minneapolis MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658 7h 28m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → CLE 09:00 → ORD 09:34UA 1355 3h 11m Chicago ORD 12:45 → SLC 15:22UA 1955 8h 22m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → CLE 08:55 → DEN 10:10UA 690 3h 30m Denver DEN 13:40 → SLC 15:13UA 1840 8h 18m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → CLE 15:50 → DTW 17:01DL 3581 · flown by SkyWest 3h 19m Detroit DTW 20:20 → SLC 22:15DL 2117 8h 25m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → CLE 08:18 → DTW 09:19DL 3817 · flown by SkyWest 3h 01m Detroit DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935 7h 53m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → CLE 14:27 → ATL 16:17DL 775 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 9h 10m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → CLE 13:42 → MSP 14:45DL 2057 3h 28m Minneapolis MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607 8h 25m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → CLE 16:20 → ORD 16:55UA 2315 3h 15m Chicago ORD 20:10 → SLC 22:48UA 1710 8h 28m 98% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → CLE 19:52 → DFW 21:48AA 1682 1h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:52 → SLC 00:36 +1AA 2378 6h 44m 71% 40%
AlaskaDetails → CLE 17:32 → SEA 19:41AS 216 52m Seattle SEA 20:33 → SLC 23:36AS 1459 8h 04m 55% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON