tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: WN 426 at 06:05 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 16%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 426 Southwest Flight history → CMH 06:05 FLL 08:35 5% 1% 0.1% 96%
WN 1537 Southwest CMH 15:15 FLL 17:56 16% 5% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → CMH 07:05 → STL 07:30WN 1207 2h 25m St Louis STL 09:55 → FLL 13:40WN 4938 6h 35m 100% 92%
SouthwestDetails → CMH 06:55 → BNA 07:15WN 4477 1h 45m Nashville BNA 09:00 → FLL 12:19WN 558 5h 24m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → CMH 08:15 → DTW 09:22DL 5812 · flown by Republic 3h 08m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 7h 19m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → CMH 07:03 → JFK 09:00DL 5656 · flown by Republic 2h 14m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 21m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:09UA 3524 · flown by Republic 51m Chicago ORD 07:00 → FLL 11:13UA 1421 5h 43m 95% 86%
AmericanDetails → CMH 05:30 → ORD 06:00AA 4487 · flown by Republic 1h 00m Chicago ORD 07:00 → FLL 11:04AA 1851 5h 34m 97% 85%
SouthwestDetails → CMH 05:45 → BWI 07:05WN 4376 1h 14m Baltimore BWI 08:19 → FLL 11:08WN 2097 5h 23m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → CMH 07:00 → ORD 07:39UA 3429 · flown by Republic 3h 20m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 13m 99% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → CMH 06:00 → IAD 07:23UA 4428 · flown by GoJet 57m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 07m 70% 60%
DeltaDetails → CMH 18:39 → ATL 20:34DL 2280 54m Atlanta ATL 21:28 → FLL 23:24DL 1107 4h 45m 72% 52%
AmericanDetails → CMH 05:59 → DCA 07:25AA 3861 · flown by Envoy 55m Washington DCA 08:20 → FLL 11:01AA 1873 5h 02m 60% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON