tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:45 pm at Columbus); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Detroit, leaving 14:07, is the safest bet: 80% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 69% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Columbus). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CMH 14:07 → DTW 15:20DL 5774 · flown by Republic 2h 20m Detroit DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765 7h 27m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → CMH 14:00 → MSP 15:07DL 2550 3h 06m Minneapolis MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607 8h 07m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → CMH 17:06 → ATL 18:47DL 2892 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 22:25 → SLC 00:26 +1DL 453 9h 20m 97% 74%
UnitedDetails → CMH 17:10 → DEN 18:19UA 1389 2h 46m Denver DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest 7h 34m 97% 72%
DeltaDetails → CMH 14:43 → ATL 16:22DL 1750 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 8h 54m 95% 72%
SouthwestDetails → CMH 13:00 → BNA 13:20WN 4297 3h 00m Nashville BNA 16:20 → SLC 18:55WN 4791 7h 55m 99% 72%
DeltaDetails → CMH 12:48 → ATL 14:26DL 1522 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 17:55 → SLC 19:56DL 653 9h 08m 94% 71%
UnitedDetails → CMH 16:33 → ORD 17:07UA 3465 · flown by Republic 3h 03m Chicago ORD 20:10 → SLC 22:48UA 1710 8h 15m 98% 69%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CMH 12:48 → ATL 14:26DL 1522 54m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526 6h 30m 69% 54%
DeltaDetails → CMH 17:06 → ATL 18:47DL 2892 47m Atlanta ATL 19:34 → SLC 21:37DL 660 6h 31m 70% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON