Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:06 am at Colorado Springs)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1223 Southwest Flight history →	COS 09:35	HOU 13:05	15%	2%	0.3%	90%
WN 1284 Southwest	COS 11:10	HOU 14:29	25%	4%	0.2%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	COS 05:10 → DAL 08:00WN 1218	1h 59m Dallas	DAL 09:59 → HOU 11:19WN 15	5h 09m	100%	83%
Southwest Details →	COS 11:10 → DEN 12:05WN 4325	2h 25m Denver	DEN 14:30 → HOU 17:56WN 4525	5h 46m	100%	76%
Southwest Details →	COS 16:40 → DAL 19:30WN 1219	2h 30m Dallas	DAL 22:00 → HOU 23:15WN 63	5h 35m	97%	72%
Southwest Details →	COS 06:45 → PHX 07:35WN 4256	2h 50m Phoenix	PHX 10:25 → HOU 15:05WN 3067	7h 20m	98%	69%
American Details →	COS 08:01 → DFW 10:56AA 782	3h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:21 → HOU 15:44AA 5002 · flown by SkyWest	6h 43m	97%	67%
Southwest Details →	COS 05:45 → DEN 06:45WN 1220	3h 55m Denver	DEN 10:40 → HOU 14:06WN 1597	7h 21m	98%	67%
Southwest Details →	COS 14:40 → MDW 18:00WN 1228	1h 15m Chicago	MDW 19:15 → HOU 21:50WN 1431	6h 10m	90%	67%
Southwest Details →	COS 16:55 → DEN 17:45WN 1222	2h 40m Denver	DEN 20:25 → HOU 23:55WN 2026	6h 00m	94%	65%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	COS 10:33 → DFW 13:31AA 1552	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:21 → HOU 15:44AA 5002 · flown by SkyWest	4h 11m	66%	45%
American Details →	COS 13:07 → DFW 16:10AA 6390 · flown by SkyWest	46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:56 → HOU 18:19AA 6385 · flown by SkyWest	4h 12m	52%	34%
Southwest Details →	COS 12:20 → SAN 13:35WN 1232	50m San Diego	SAN 14:25 → HOU 19:35WN 4505	6h 15m	39%	26%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON