tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 46 at 19:20, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 46 Southwest Flight history → DAL 19:20 FLL 23:10 28% 6% 0.5% 40%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519 4h 00m Nashville BNA 12:45 → FLL 16:05WN 4030 8h 05m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 10:05 → MDW 12:20WN 1357 3h 05m Chicago MDW 15:25 → FLL 19:25WN 4899 8h 20m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 22m 98% 85%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 14:05 → MDW 16:20WN 1358 3h 15m Chicago MDW 19:35 → FLL 23:35WN 2777 8h 30m 100% 84%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274 50m St Louis STL 09:55 → FLL 13:40WN 4938 5h 20m 91% 83%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628 2h 52m Houston HOU 10:02 → FLL 13:32WN 1596 6h 32m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345 6h 16m 98% 82%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:53 → HOU 08:11WN 1 1h 59m Houston HOU 10:10 → FLL 13:40WN 4355 5h 47m 99% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → DAL 12:00 → MCI 13:30WN 4327 55m Kansas City MCI 14:25 → FLL 18:30WN 379 5h 30m 68% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON