tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 23–31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1361 Southwest Flight history → DAL 11:30 MIA 15:20 23% 4% 0.7% 68%
WN 2929 Southwest DAL 13:55 MIA 17:45 31% 6% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:05 → MCI 07:35WN 4631 2h 25m Kansas City MCI 10:00 → MIA 14:10WN 2575 7h 05m 98% 83%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519 3h 30m Nashville BNA 12:15 → MIA 15:35WN 2952 7h 35m 99% 78%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 09:00 → AUS 10:00WN 4172 1h 50m Austin AUS 11:50 → MIA 15:40WN 362 5h 40m 96% 77%
DeltaDetails → DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516 1h 43m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332 5h 57m 95% 77%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 08:00 → CMH 11:20WN 4386 2h 30m Columbus CMH 13:50 → MIA 16:25WN 114 7h 25m 98% 76%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274 3h 40m St Louis STL 12:45 → MIA 16:25WN 2901 8h 05m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589 7h 56m 98% 74%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → BWI 09:55WN 1280 1h 50m Baltimore BWI 11:45 → MIA 14:20WN 4737 7h 20m 98% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780 53m Atlanta ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589 5h 16m 74% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON