Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:38 am at Dallas)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 24–26% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 2706 Southwest	DAL 18:35	OMA 20:29	24%	5%	0.5%	no record
WN 1374 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 19:35	OMA 21:25	26%	6%	0.5%	27%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → PHX 06:30WN 1379	1h 15m Phoenix	PHX 07:45 → OMA 12:26WN 3245	6h 26m	100%	88%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → DEN 07:00WN 1296	1h 30m Denver	DEN 08:30 → OMA 11:07WN 1705	5h 07m	98%	88%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → MDW 08:15WN 1355	1h 25m Chicago	MDW 09:40 → OMA 11:14WN 4412	5h 14m	100%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	55m Houston	HOU 08:05 → OMA 10:23WN 1788	4h 23m	93%	85%
Southwest Details →	DAL 10:05 → MDW 12:20WN 1357	3h 30m Chicago	MDW 15:50 → OMA 17:25WN 2945	7h 20m	100%	82%
Southwest Details →	DAL 17:25 → STL 19:10WN 2921	2h 43m St Louis	STL 21:53 → OMA 23:29WN 492	6h 04m	95%	80%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 40m	97%	78%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:30 → MDW 10:45WN 1356	3h 25m Chicago	MDW 14:10 → OMA 15:40WN 435	7h 10m	100%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115	54m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	5h 29m	66%	50%
Southwest Details →	DAL 13:10 → DEN 14:10WN 1346	1h 00m Denver	DEN 15:10 → OMA 17:35WN 1658	4h 25m	54%	37%
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:21 → MDW 17:39WN 1414	46m Chicago	MDW 18:25 → OMA 19:50WN 2844	4h 29m	39%	29%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON