Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:47 am at Dallas)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 24–29% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 3033 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 13:40	PIT 17:15	24%	4%	0.1%	59%
WN 555 Southwest	DAL 15:40	PIT 19:17	29%	5%	0.1%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 08:30 → MDW 10:45WN 1356	2h 35m Chicago	MDW 13:20 → PIT 15:51WN 2964	6h 21m	100%	91%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519	1h 41m Nashville	BNA 10:26 → PIT 13:04WN 4514	5h 04m	96%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274	1h 00m St Louis	STL 10:05 → PIT 12:40WN 3971	4h 20m	90%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 10:05 → MDW 12:20WN 1357	1h 15m Chicago	MDW 13:35 → PIT 16:00WN 2866	4h 55m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	7h 51m	98%	84%
Southwest Details →	DAL 14:05 → MDW 16:20WN 1358	3h 18m Chicago	MDW 19:38 → PIT 22:09WN 4803	7h 04m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	6h 01m	97%	81%
Southwest Details →	DAL 10:00 → BNA 11:50WN 5062	3h 01m Nashville	BNA 14:51 → PIT 17:29WN 684	6h 29m	95%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	DAL 13:10 → DEN 14:10WN 1346	1h 10m Denver	DEN 15:20 → PIT 20:22WN 4424	6h 12m	65%	50%
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:20 → PHX 15:45WN 4129	1h 10m Phoenix	PHX 16:55 → PIT 23:55WN 4804	7h 35m	73%	46%
Southwest Details →	DAL 17:45 → MCO 21:30WN 965	55m Orlando	MCO 22:25 → PIT 00:55 +1WN 353	6h 10m	49%	32%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON