Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 33–37% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1459 Southwest	DAL 16:55	SAV 20:20	33%	6%	0.8%	no record
WN 1290 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 16:00	SAV 19:20	37%	6%	0.8%	53%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	6h 54m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	5h 07m	96%	81%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	3h 15m Houston	HOU 10:25 → SAV 13:45WN 4394	6h 45m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:07 → SAV 13:12DL 940	6h 07m	98%	80%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274	3h 15m St Louis	STL 12:20 → SAV 15:15WN 654	6h 55m	98%	79%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:30 → MDW 10:45WN 1356	2h 40m Chicago	MDW 13:25 → SAV 16:35WN 4683	7h 05m	100%	79%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519	1h 30m Nashville	BNA 10:15 → SAV 12:50WN 4930	4h 50m	96%	78%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:20 → BNA 10:10WN 434	3h 40m Nashville	BNA 13:50 → SAV 16:15WN 777	6h 55m	99%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780	46m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	4h 14m	71%	59%
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:10 → BWI 19:10WN 1283	55m Baltimore	BWI 20:05 → SAV 22:00WN 4375	5h 50m	75%	57%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	52m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	4h 18m	73%	56%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON