Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:51 pm at Denver); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1190 Southwest	DEN 15:08	CHS 19:50	35%	8%	0.2%	no record
WN 1142 Southwest Flight history →	DEN 15:20	CHS 20:40	35%	9%	0.2%	58%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 14:10 → ATL 19:16DL 706	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	8h 16m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	DEN 15:10 → ATL 20:22DL 957	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 22:05 → CHS 23:19DL 2525	6h 09m	91%	70%
American Details →	DEN 13:59 → ORD 16:58AA 2363	2h 47m Chicago	ORD 19:45 → CHS 23:09AA 3127	7h 10m	85%	66%
American Details →	DEN 13:56 → CLT 19:22AA 1758	3h 28m Charlotte	CLT 22:50 → CHS 23:59AA 1141	8h 03m	100%	63%
American Details →	DEN 14:37 → CLT 19:20AA 1662	3h 28m Charlotte	CLT 22:48 → CHS 23:54AA 1749	7h 17m	96%	59%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 15:57 → CLT 21:27AA 1735	1h 21m Charlotte	CLT 22:48 → CHS 23:54AA 1749	5h 57m	70%	43%
American Details →	DEN 15:13 → PHL 20:59AA 1759	56m Philadelphia	PHL 21:55 → CHS 23:55AA 5068 · flown by PSA	6h 42m	61%	36%
American Details →	DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420	46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:07 → CHS 22:46AA 1422	5h 35m	33%	20%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON