Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:20 am at Denver)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: UA 5514 at 10:15 is the safest bet, 16% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 31%.

Nonstops today


UA 5514 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 10:15	HSV 14:14	16%	7%	0.3%	88%
UA 5356 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 17:45	HSV 21:38	31%	11%	0.3%	75%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599	3h 26m Houston	IAH 18:35 → HSV 20:42UA 4284 · flown by CommuteAir	8h 08m	97%	81%
American Details →	DEN 13:56 → CLT 19:22AA 1758	3h 28m Charlotte	CLT 22:50 → HSV 23:23AA 5133 · flown by PSA	8h 27m	100%	77%
United Details →	DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829	2h 46m Houston	IAH 19:50 → HSV 21:53UA 4292 · flown by CommuteAir	7h 23m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	DEN 09:39 → ATL 14:35DL 2235	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 17:47 → HSV 17:53DL 3065	7h 14m	99%	76%
United Details →	DEN 13:53 → IAD 19:22UA 347	2h 48m Dulles	IAD 22:10 → HSV 23:24UA 4901 · flown by CommuteAir	8h 31m	95%	76%
Delta Details →	DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171	7h 08m	99%	75%
American Details →	DEN 10:00 → CLT 15:31AA 1754	2h 24m Charlotte	CLT 17:55 → HSV 18:37AA 5811 · flown by Piedmont	7h 37m	100%	74%
American Details →	DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420	3h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:30 → HSV 23:26AA 4278 · flown by Envoy	7h 15m	94%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 14:24 → CLT 19:40AA 1662	1h 04m Charlotte	CLT 20:44 → HSV 21:13AA 5443 · flown by PSA	5h 49m	73%	47%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	50m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171	4h 50m	56%	42%
American Details →	DEN 16:23 → DFW 19:34AA 1832	55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:29 → HSV 22:26AA 3179	5h 03m	56%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON