Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:56 pm at Denver); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 38% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


UA 1913 United Flight history →	DEN 19:24	PSC 20:52	38%	9%	0.3%	65%
UA 1737 United	DEN 19:18	PSC 20:53	38%	9%	0.3%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 19:09 → SLC 20:49DL 2663	2h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	5h 45m	97%	80%
United Details →	DEN 17:54 → SFO 19:40UA 1007	3h 00m San Francisco	SFO 22:40 → PSC 00:50 +1UA 6044 · flown by SkyWest	7h 56m	95%	66%
Delta Details →	DEN 18:39 → SEA 20:41DL 2543	2h 04m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 14m	87%	56%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	DEN 19:05 → PDX 20:50AS 1807	1h 00m Portland	PDX 21:50 → PSC 22:44AS 3066 · flown by SkyWest	4h 39m	60%	41%
American Details →	DEN 18:56 → PHX 19:52AA 1638	46m Phoenix	PHX 20:38 → PSC 23:19AA 5006 · flown by SkyWest	5h 23m	34%	22%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON