Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:26 pm at Denver); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 15:10, is the safest bet: 73% chance of reaching Savannah on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 45% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 15:10 → ATL 20:22DL 957	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	6h 43m	94%	73%
American Details →	DEN 14:37 → CLT 19:20AA 1662	3h 25m Charlotte	CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517	7h 20m	96%	58%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DEN 16:35 → ATL 21:49DL 840	57m Atlanta	ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860	5h 18m	72%	56%
American Details →	DEN 15:57 → CLT 21:27AA 1735	1h 18m Charlotte	CLT 22:45 → SAV 23:57AA 1517	6h 00m	69%	42%
American Details →	DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420	53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:14 → SAV 22:42AA 1092	5h 31m	45%	23%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON