Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:11 pm at Denver); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 28–30% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


OO 376 SkyWest	DEN 17:55	SHV 21:21	28%	9%	0.3%	no record
UA 5879 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 17:48	SHV 21:19	30%	9%	0.3%	77%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	DEN 12:39 → DFW 15:47AA 2359	2h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:40 → SHV 19:46AA 4128 · flown by Envoy	6h 07m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → SHV 22:04DL 4095 · flown by SkyWest	7h 54m	100%	73%
United Details →	DEN 15:35 → IAH 19:10UA 489	2h 30m Houston	IAH 21:40 → SHV 22:44UA 5395 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	96%	72%
American Details →	DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420	3h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:35 → SHV 22:44AA 6284 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	94%	71%
United Details →	DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829	2h 46m Houston	IAH 19:50 → SHV 21:03UA 4682 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	97%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 13:56 → CLT 19:22AA 1758	58m Charlotte	CLT 20:20 → SHV 21:51AA 6412 · flown by SkyWest	6h 55m	69%	49%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:10 → ATL 18:10DL 824	55m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest	5h 42m	67%	45%
American Details →	DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:09 → SHV 20:17AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest	4h 06m	50%	36%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON