tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 391 at 18:38, with a 39% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
AA 391 American Flight history → DFW 18:38 ALB 23:15 39% 13% 1.3% 44%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DFW 07:08 → ORD 09:50UA 1695 2h 05m Chicago ORD 11:55 → ALB 14:54UA 2792 6h 46m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183 1h 38m Detroit DTW 10:42 → ALB 12:22DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 6h 02m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → DFW 07:00 → CLT 10:44AA 317 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 13:19 → ALB 15:25AA 440 7h 25m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → DFW 09:45 → ORD 12:26UA 1114 2h 22m Chicago ORD 14:48 → ALB 17:56UA 1634 7h 11m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:05 → PHL 09:22AA 2358 3h 43m Philadelphia PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont 8h 26m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → DFW 16:26 → ORD 18:42AA 1290 2h 21m Chicago ORD 21:03 → ALB 00:17 +1AA 3463 · flown by Envoy 6h 51m 92% 80%
AmericanDetails → DFW 05:00 → ORD 07:38AA 1360 1h 53m Chicago ORD 09:31 → ALB 12:48AA 5004 · flown by SkyWest 6h 48m 97% 78%
DeltaDetails → DFW 08:10 → ATL 11:28DL 1627 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:35DL 1241 8h 25m 96% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DFW 17:49 → ORD 20:06AA 1573 57m Chicago ORD 21:03 → ALB 00:17 +1AA 3463 · flown by Envoy 5h 28m 57% 50%
UnitedDetails → DFW 17:15 → IAD 21:24UA 1240 46m Dulles IAD 22:10 → ALB 23:47UA 4321 · flown by CommuteAir 5h 32m 62% 49%
JetBlueDetails → DFW 16:10 → FLL 20:10B6 1882 49m Fort Lauderdale FLL 20:59 → ALB 00:07 +1B6 87 6h 57m 61% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON