tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:42 am at Dallas-Fort Worth); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 30–31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1883 American Flight history → DFW 10:50 JAC 12:57 30% 9% 0.2% 66%
AA 817 American Flight history → DFW 17:50 JAC 19:42 31% 11% 0.1% 50%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798 1h 35m Salt Lake City SLC 15:55 → JAC 17:00DL 417 5h 30m 93% 80%
DeltaDetails → DFW 14:31 → SLC 16:18DL 2800 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 95% 78%
UnitedDetails → DFW 11:35 → DEN 12:45UA 2049 3h 35m Denver DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200 7h 18m 96% 76%
UnitedDetails → DFW 12:00 → ORD 14:42UA 1401 1h 39m Chicago ORD 16:21 → JAC 18:42UA 378 7h 42m 91% 75%
DeltaDetails → DFW 12:17 → ATL 15:35DL 961 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 8h 47m 97% 75%
AmericanDetails → DFW 10:45 → LAX 11:57AA 2827 2h 10m Los Angeles LAX 14:07 → JAC 17:27AA 6471 · flown by SkyWest 7h 42m 94% 68%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414 56m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 7h 14m 70% 54%
UnitedDetails → DFW 16:50 → DEN 18:20UA 1303 59m Denver DEN 19:19 → JAC 21:02UA 785 5h 12m 69% 54%
DeltaDetails → DFW 15:34 → MSP 18:03DL 2900 47m Minneapolis MSP 18:50 → JAC 20:29DL 3925 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 54% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON