Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 4:33 am at Dallas-Fort Worth)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 421 at 19:25, with a 36% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 421 American Flight history →	DFW 19:25	SYR 23:40	36%	11%	1.2%	58%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 773	3h 08m Denver	DEN 10:01 → SYR 15:36UA 211	8h 51m	100%	85%
American Details →	DFW 07:00 → ORD 09:42AA 1106	3h 41m Chicago	ORD 13:23 → SYR 16:26AA 3819 · flown by Envoy	8h 26m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → DTW 09:04DL 2183	2h 27m Detroit	DTW 11:31 → SYR 13:01DL 3533 · flown by SkyWest	6h 41m	97%	84%
American Details →	DFW 05:05 → PHL 09:22AA 2358	3h 50m Philadelphia	PHL 13:12 → SYR 14:34AA 5924 · flown by Piedmont	8h 29m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	DFW 16:23 → ATL 19:33DL 921	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 21:35 → SYR 23:48DL 2123	6h 25m	100%	79%
United Details →	DFW 07:20 → IAD 11:26UA 2639	1h 09m Dulles	IAD 12:35 → SYR 14:04UA 4499 · flown by GoJet	5h 44m	93%	78%
Delta Details →	DFW 08:15 → JFK 12:59DL 454	1h 35m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	6h 56m	95%	77%
Delta Details →	DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	6h 53m	97%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	DFW 11:28 → FLL 15:24B6 482	1h 06m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 16:30 → SYR 19:40B6 1738	7h 12m	62%	42%
American Details →	DFW 12:14 → PHL 16:37AA 2947	53m Philadelphia	PHL 17:30 → SYR 18:54AA 5837 · flown by Piedmont	5h 40m	62%	39%
Delta Details →	DFW 16:10 → LGA 20:51DL 869	54m New York	LGA 21:45 → SYR 23:12DL 5524 · flown by Endeavor	6h 02m	66%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON