Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:05 pm at Detroit); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 3889 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DTW 16:00	OMA 17:10	20%	8%	0.2%	71%
DL 3715 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DTW 19:45	OMA 20:53	20%	7%	0.2%	71%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Detroit). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DTW 13:25 → MDW 13:35WN 507	2h 15m Chicago	MDW 15:50 → OMA 17:25WN 2945	5h 00m	99%	83%
American Details →	DTW 13:34 → ORD 14:07AA 3498 · flown by Envoy	1h 58m Chicago	ORD 16:05 → OMA 17:55AA 4724 · flown by Republic	5h 21m	94%	79%
Delta Details →	DTW 18:10 → MSP 19:07DL 1842	2h 23m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	5h 38m	97%	78%
American Details →	DTW 13:33 → ORD 13:53AA 3977 · flown by Envoy	3h 37m Chicago	ORD 17:30 → OMA 19:18AA 3738 · flown by Envoy	6h 45m	100%	78%
Southwest Details →	DTW 20:30 → MDW 20:40WN 1782	1h 20m Chicago	MDW 22:00 → OMA 23:34WN 2946	4h 04m	91%	73%
Delta Details →	DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 22:28 → OMA 23:49DL 2010	6h 40m	95%	73%
Delta Details →	DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	6h 55m	99%	71%
Delta Details →	DTW 17:40 → SLC 19:34DL 765	1h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:40 → OMA 23:58DL 3706 · flown by SkyWest	7h 18m	86%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	DTW 16:29 → ORD 16:59UA 4673 · flown by SkyWest	1h 01m Chicago	ORD 18:00 → OMA 19:49UA 5777 · flown by SkyWest	4h 20m	73%	46%
American Details →	DTW 16:26 → PHL 18:15AA 5427 · flown by PSA	1h 24m Philadelphia	PHL 19:39 → OMA 21:52AA 5545 · flown by PSA	6h 26m	74%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON