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Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:19 am at Detroit); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3711 SkyWest DTW 15:05 SAV 17:21 31% 9% 0.4% no record
DL 3651 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → DTW 15:13 SAV 17:30 31% 10% 0.4% 67%

Best connections today, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 5h 44m 95% 78%
UnitedDetails → DTW 14:35 → IAD 16:11UA 6190 · flown by Mesa 1h 39m Dulles IAD 17:50 → SAV 19:48UA 3981 · flown by Mesa 5h 13m 93% 74%
UnitedDetails → DTW 14:10 → ORD 14:47UA 5381 · flown by SkyWest 3h 33m Chicago ORD 18:20 → SAV 21:56UA 3496 · flown by Republic 7h 46m 97% 74%
DeltaDetails → DTW 15:59 → ATL 18:00DL 1467 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 21:40 → SAV 22:49DL 3168 6h 50m 99% 71%
DeltaDetails → DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425 6h 18m 100% 70%
DeltaDetails → DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 6h 34m 98% 69%
AmericanDetails → DTW 16:17 → CLT 18:17AA 1770 2h 46m Charlotte CLT 21:03 → SAV 22:20AA 5382 · flown by PSA 6h 03m 97% 65%
UnitedDetails → DTW 16:48 → EWR 18:42UA 3666 · flown by Republic 2h 47m Newark EWR 21:29 → SAV 23:52UA 2291 7h 04m 97% 65%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983 47m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 4h 00m 74% 52%
SouthwestDetails → DTW 17:45 → BWI 19:15WN 1526 50m Baltimore BWI 20:05 → SAV 22:00WN 4375 4h 15m 72% 48%
AmericanDetails → DTW 17:32 → DCA 19:15AA 5172 · flown by PSA 46m Washington DCA 20:01 → SAV 21:57AA 5384 · flown by PSA 4h 25m 62% 29%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON