tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, AS 3260 at 19:35, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 3260 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → EUG 19:35 BUR 21:49 22% 8% 0.8% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → EUG 05:10 → SMF 06:30WN 1840 2h 10m Sacramento SMF 08:40 → BUR 10:11WN 3900 5h 01m 98% 92%
AlaskaDetails → EUG 05:20 → PDX 06:06AS 2053 · flown by Horizon 53m Portland PDX 06:59 → BUR 09:24AS 1322 4h 04m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → EUG 06:00 → SLC 08:53DL 3708 · flown by SkyWest 1h 52m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 5h 54m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → EUG 05:00 → DEN 08:37UA 1241 2h 38m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 7h 48m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → EUG 06:00 → SFO 07:35UA 335 58m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363 3h 57m 91% 82%
SouthwestDetails → EUG 06:10 → DEN 09:40WN 1828 2h 05m Denver DEN 11:45 → BUR 13:20WN 579 7h 10m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → EUG 13:59 → SFO 15:35UA 2077 2h 19m San Francisco SFO 17:54 → BUR 19:20UA 1321 5h 21m 96% 78%
AlaskaDetails → EUG 12:34 → PDX 13:26AS 3062 · flown by SkyWest 1h 29m Portland PDX 14:55 → BUR 17:13AS 1386 4h 39m 89% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON