tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:01 am at Kalispell); 2 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1199 United Flight history → FCA 14:33 DEN 16:50 22% 7% 1.0% 85%
UA 1835 United Flight history → FCA 17:28 DEN 19:45 25% 7% 1.0% 80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FCA 15:33 → MSP 19:15DL 2575 3h 00m Minneapolis MSP 22:15 → DEN 23:27DL 1705 7h 54m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → FCA 17:29 → SLC 19:15DL 3798 · flown by SkyWest 1h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 21:05 → DEN 22:40DL 1667 5h 11m 95% 76%
UnitedDetails → FCA 16:11 → SFO 17:50UA 5936 · flown by SkyWest 3h 10m San Francisco SFO 21:00 → DEN 00:47 +1UA 301 8h 36m 99% 76%
UnitedDetails → FCA 13:20 → LAX 15:23UA 5427 · flown by SkyWest 2h 22m Los Angeles LAX 17:45 → DEN 21:25UA 1652 8h 05m 94% 71%
UnitedDetails → FCA 12:35 → ORD 17:05UA 2362 1h 12m Chicago ORD 18:17 → DEN 20:22UA 1974 7h 47m 87% 69%
DeltaDetails → FCA 13:29 → SLC 15:23DL 3804 · flown by SkyWest 3h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → DEN 20:01DL 1586 6h 32m 94% 64%
AmericanDetails → FCA 15:52 → DFW 20:30AA 1842 2h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:55 → DEN 00:08 +1AA 2852 8h 16m 88% 60%
DeltaDetails → FCA 12:22 → SLC 14:09DL 2813 1h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 15:24 → DEN 16:54DL 1623 4h 32m 86% 60%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → FCA 12:35 → DFW 17:13AA 1845 1h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:30 → DEN 19:41AA 2235 7h 06m 72% 43%
UnitedDetails → FCA 13:20 → LAX 15:23UA 5427 · flown by SkyWest 47m Los Angeles LAX 16:10 → DEN 19:40UA 2146 6h 20m 18% 12%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON