Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:36 am at Fort Lauderdale)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 42%, against 26% on a calm day. Safest: B6 1130 at 16:05, 42%.

Nonstops today


B6 1130 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 16:05	CHS 17:50	42%	14%	0.6%	75%worse than usual

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 18:28 → ATL 20:35DL 2345	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	5h 58m	94%	79%
Southwest Details →	FLL 10:45 → BWI 13:15WN 1853	3h 05m Baltimore	BWI 16:20 → CHS 18:11WN 974	7h 26m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:27 → DTW 14:26DL 655	1h 21m Detroit	DTW 15:47 → CHS 17:57DL 3016	6h 30m	92%	71%
Delta Details →	FLL 16:46 → ATL 18:47DL 1413	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 22:05 → CHS 23:19DL 2525	6h 33m	98%	71%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174	6h 12m	98%	70%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:39 → CHS 18:54DL 3179	6h 46m	98%	68%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 20:51 → CHS 22:07DL 1663	6h 35m	98%	65%
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 19:27 → CHS 20:42DL 2493	7h 14m	100%	64%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	FLL 19:41 → CLT 21:52AA 1861	55m Charlotte	CLT 22:47 → CHS 23:53AA 1749	4h 12m	74%	49%
Southwest Details →	FLL 16:45 → BWI 19:20WN 4670	55m Baltimore	BWI 20:15 → CHS 22:00WN 184	5h 15m	71%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON