tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 4819 at 13:00, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 4819 Southwest Flight history → FLL 13:00 DAL 14:50 18% 4% 0.6% 28%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:55 → MDW 07:55WN 1866 1h 47m Chicago MDW 09:42 → DAL 12:04WN 2864 7h 09m 100% 90%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:40 → STL 07:20WN 1874 1h 11m St Louis STL 08:31 → DAL 10:20WN 987 5h 40m 96% 89%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 05:00 → HOU 06:30WN 1861 3h 00m Houston HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14 6h 35m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 09:35 → BNA 10:50WN 4638 1h 30m Nashville BNA 12:20 → DAL 14:15WN 5046 5h 40m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 04m Atlanta ATL 08:15 → DAL 09:21DL 441 4h 58m 97% 83%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512 6h 07m 99% 82%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 06:10 → MCO 07:15WN 4824 3h 05m Orlando MCO 10:20 → DAL 11:55WN 380 6h 45m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115 5h 51m 98% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → FLL 17:35 → HOU 19:15WN 4230 1h 15m Houston HOU 20:30 → DAL 21:40WN 54 5h 05m 74% 59%
SouthwestDetails → FLL 19:10 → STL 21:00WN 1875 50m St Louis STL 21:50 → DAL 23:30WN 3904 5h 20m 72% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON