Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:24 pm at Spokane); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: United via Denver, leaving 13:41, is the safest bet: 53% chance of reaching Atlanta on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 59% of the time.

Nonstops today


DL 1843 Delta Flight history →	GEG 22:48	ATL 06:05	14%	4%	0.2%	69%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GEG 17:10 → SLC 19:55DL 1503	2h 38m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:33 → ATL 04:21 +1DL 8806	8h 11m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	GEG 13:30 → SLC 16:14DL 1452	1h 41m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905	7h 28m	95%	77%
Delta Details →	GEG 19:08 → SLC 21:55DL 1024	1h 40m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:35 → ATL 05:14 +1DL 912	7h 06m	95%	75%
Delta Details →	GEG 16:16 → LAX 19:10DL 3799 · flown by SkyWest	3h 30m Los Angeles	LAX 22:40 → ATL 06:10 +1DL 899	10h 54m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	GEG 16:14 → LAX 19:02DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	2h 22m Los Angeles	LAX 21:24 → ATL 05:00 +1DL 783	9h 46m	95%	71%
Southwest Details →	GEG 17:10 → LAS 19:35WN 1951	3h 15m Las Vegas	LAS 22:50 → ATL 05:45 +1WN 2179	9h 35m	98%	68%
Delta Details →	GEG 17:37 → SEA 19:01DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	3h 57m Seattle	SEA 22:58 → ATL 06:45 +1DL 409	10h 08m	100%	67%
Delta Details →	GEG 19:59 → SEA 21:22DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	1h 51m Seattle	SEA 23:13 → ATL 07:06 +1DL 567	8h 07m	89%	57%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	GEG 13:41 → DEN 16:57UA 1255	51m Denver	DEN 17:48 → ATL 22:57UA 1305	6h 16m	72%	50%
Alaska Details →	GEG 13:26 → SEA 14:40AS 293	1h 30m Seattle	SEA 16:10 → ATL 00:01 +1AS 217	7h 35m	59%	25%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON