Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:00 am at Spokane); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 33% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 1381 American Flight history →	GEG 12:53	DFW 18:33	33%	12%	0.6%	59%
AA 1885 American Flight history →	GEG 12:49	DFW 18:34	33%	13%	0.6%	62%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GEG 12:35 → MSP 17:29DL 1853	2h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 19:50 → DFW 22:21DL 2967	7h 46m	98%	77%
United Details →	GEG 11:09 → ORD 17:00UA 5623 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Chicago	ORD 19:50 → DFW 22:36UA 1673	9h 27m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	GEG 13:30 → SLC 16:14DL 1452	1h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796	5h 53m	92%	68%
United Details →	GEG 13:41 → DEN 16:57UA 1255	3h 56m Denver	DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239	8h 18m	98%	67%
American Details →	GEG 15:00 → PHX 17:37AA 1888	2h 44m Phoenix	PHX 20:21 → DFW 00:48 +1AA 2603	7h 48m	98%	66%
Alaska Details →	GEG 13:36 → SEA 14:46AS 455	3h 12m Seattle	SEA 17:58 → DFW 23:49AS 542	8h 13m	100%	64%
American Details →	GEG 13:59 → ORD 19:36AA 677	2h 02m Chicago	ORD 21:38 → DFW 00:05 +1AA 2281	8h 06m	89%	64%
American Details →	GEG 14:34 → PHX 17:21AA 540	1h 39m Phoenix	PHX 19:00 → DFW 23:25AA 633	6h 51m	91%	64%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	GEG 14:29 → ORD 20:32AA 814	1h 06m Chicago	ORD 21:38 → DFW 00:05 +1AA 2281	7h 36m	74%	53%
American Details →	GEG 15:00 → PHX 17:37AA 1888	51m Phoenix	PHX 18:28 → DFW 22:52AA 2608	5h 52m	73%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON