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Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1962 at 12:40, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1962 Southwest Flight history → HOU 12:40 CHS 16:05 30% 5% 0.8% 45%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

SouthwestDetails → HOU 08:10 → MDW 10:40WN 1294 2h 15m Chicago MDW 12:55 → CHS 16:06WN 4652 6h 56m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179 6h 42m 99% 81%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 05:25 → BWI 09:30WN 3797 2h 05m Baltimore BWI 11:35 → CHS 13:15WN 899 6h 50m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:10 → BNA 09:10WN 1954 1h 10m Nashville BNA 10:20 → CHS 12:58WN 2349 4h 48m 95% 81%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 09:25 → AUS 10:20WN 270 2h 45m Austin AUS 13:05 → CHS 16:45WN 269 6h 20m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → HOU 17:17 → ATL 20:32DL 2381 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850 6h 09m 94% 79%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4 2h 55m Dallas DAL 11:05 → CHS 14:35WN 4700 6h 35m 100% 77%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 09:05 → BNA 11:00WN 5068 2h 05m Nashville BNA 13:05 → CHS 15:35WN 470 5h 30m 100% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → HOU 12:46 → DFW 14:09AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 1h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:17 → CHS 18:59AA 2943 5h 13m 69% 43%
AmericanDetails → HOU 16:14 → DFW 17:38AA 5002 · flown by SkyWest 1h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:07 → CHS 22:47AA 1422 5h 33m 70% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON