Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:18 am at Houston)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 25–30% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1963 Southwest Flight history →	HOU 16:00	CMH 19:30	25%	4%	0.2%	76%
WN 2025 Southwest	HOU 17:50	CMH 21:25	30%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	HOU 07:20 → STL 09:25WN 4084	1h 00m St Louis	STL 10:25 → CMH 12:57WN 4590	4h 37m	93%	88%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:10 → BNA 09:10WN 1954	1h 16m Nashville	BNA 10:26 → CMH 12:49WN 4666	4h 39m	97%	87%
Southwest Details →	HOU 08:10 → MDW 10:40WN 1294	2h 05m Chicago	MDW 12:45 → CMH 15:04WN 4660	5h 54m	100%	86%
Southwest Details →	HOU 11:20 → MDW 13:45WN 1019	2h 55m Chicago	MDW 16:40 → CMH 18:55WN 4594	6h 35m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	2h 45m Dallas	DAL 10:55 → CMH 14:17WN 4746	6h 17m	100%	84%
Southwest Details →	HOU 06:20 → PHX 06:55WN 2062	1h 00m Phoenix	PHX 07:55 → CMH 14:35WN 1537	7h 15m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:30DL 1195	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 20:31 → CMH 22:10DL 1501	6h 46m	96%	80%
Southwest Details →	HOU 11:00 → BNA 12:55WN 1955	3h 01m Nashville	BNA 15:56 → CMH 18:19WN 513	6h 19m	99%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	HOU 17:40 → BNA 19:35WN 1957	50m Nashville	BNA 20:25 → CMH 22:48WN 516	4h 08m	71%	52%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:00 → PHX 12:40WN 2063	1h 30m Phoenix	PHX 14:10 → CMH 20:50WN 816	7h 50m	73%	49%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:20 → MCO 15:50WN 2034	1h 15m Orlando	MCO 17:05 → CMH 19:23WN 2733	6h 03m	74%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON