Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 3:45 pm at Huntsville); 6 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 6007 at 19:01, with a 26% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 6007 American flown by Piedmont Flight history →	HSV 19:01	CLT 21:29	26%	7%	1.1%	80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	HSV 18:14 → IAD 21:33UA 4351 · flown by CommuteAir	53m Dulles	IAD 22:26 → CLT 00:08 +1UA 2074	4h 54m	78%	61%
Delta Details →	HSV 16:20 → ATL 18:25DL 3026	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 20:40 → CLT 21:57DL 3139	4h 37m	94%	57%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	HSV 18:18 → DFW 20:30AA 5205 · flown by PSA	55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:25 → CLT 00:59 +1AA 2409	5h 41m	57%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON