Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:55 pm at Huntsville); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, UA 5393 at 15:35, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


UA 5393 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	HSV 15:35	DEN 17:55	20%	6%	0.2%	81%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	HSV 16:47 → IAH 19:04UA 4893 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 06m Houston	IAH 22:10 → DEN 23:57UA 1066	8h 10m	94%	74%
United Details →	HSV 18:14 → IAD 21:33UA 4351 · flown by CommuteAir	50m Dulles	IAD 22:23 → DEN 00:30 +1UA 495	7h 16m	77%	66%
Delta Details →	HSV 19:46 → ATL 22:00DL 3171	59m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → DEN 00:23 +1DL 956	5h 37m	84%	58%
American Details →	HSV 18:18 → DFW 20:30AA 5205 · flown by PSA	2h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:56 → DEN 00:08 +1AA 2852	6h 50m	93%	57%
American Details →	HSV 15:41 → CLT 18:09AA 6006 · flown by Piedmont	3h 30m Charlotte	CLT 21:39 → DEN 23:09AA 3156	8h 28m	98%	56%
American Details →	HSV 15:37 → DFW 17:48AA 3580 · flown by Envoy	2h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:29 → DEN 21:32AA 577	6h 55m	94%	50%
American Details →	HSV 14:37 → DFW 16:46AA 5383 · flown by PSA	1h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:30 → DEN 19:41AA 2235	6h 04m	81%	41%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	HSV 16:20 → ATL 18:25DL 3026	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746	5h 23m	75%	46%
American Details →	HSV 19:37 → DFW 21:50AA 3579 · flown by Envoy	55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:45 → DEN 23:50AA 662	5h 13m	73%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON