tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, UA 1345 at 12:25, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 1345 United Flight history → IAH 12:25 PBI 15:56 21% 6% 0.8% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 2h 51m Chicago ORD 10:50 → PBI 14:51UA 2342 8h 47m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → IAH 08:05 → ATL 11:10DL 644 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838 6h 45m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAH 05:40 → ATL 08:50DL 1069 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190 6h 14m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → IAH 12:09 → ATL 15:21DL 1682 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058 7h 42m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → IAH 09:41 → ATL 12:48DL 1585 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → PBI 18:36DL 959 7h 55m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:01 → EWR 10:36UA 1797 2h 31m Newark EWR 13:07 → PBI 16:09UA 1797 9h 08m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → IAH 16:51 → ATL 20:13DL 2890 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 7h 00m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:38 → ATL 17:54DL 1572 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 20:30 → PBI 22:22DL 1606 6h 44m 97% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:51 → EWR 14:30UA 2402 55m Newark EWR 15:25 → PBI 18:27UA 2659 7h 36m 74% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON