tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 9:44 am at New York)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Detroit, leaving 12:59, is the safest bet: 64% chance of reaching Milwaukee on time.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 4986 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record JFK 17:30 MKE 19:24 28% 15% 4.5% 72%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind New York). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JFK 17:40 → ATL 20:46DL 2293 2h 06m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 7h 16m 93% 79%
DeltaDetails → JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414 3h 08m Minneapolis MSP 16:58 → MKE 18:16DL 4462 · flown by SkyWest 7h 41m 98% 73%
AmericanDetails → JFK 19:03 → ORD 20:47AA 4454 · flown by Republic 52m Chicago ORD 21:39 → MKE 22:28AA 6257 · flown by SkyWest 4h 25m 100% 72%
AmericanDetails → JFK 13:59 → ORD 15:53AA 3321 3h 22m Chicago ORD 19:15 → MKE 20:18AA 6273 · flown by SkyWest 7h 19m 95% 70%
DeltaDetails → JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206 7h 40m 97% 70%
DeltaDetails → JFK 12:59 → DTW 15:00DL 2343 2h 41m Detroit DTW 17:41 → MKE 18:00DL 3675 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 98% 69%
AmericanDetails → JFK 17:00 → CLT 19:30AA 3120 3h 17m Charlotte CLT 22:47 → MKE 23:54AA 1072 7h 54m 96% 69%
AmericanDetails → JFK 11:59 → CLT 14:05AA 493 2h 21m Charlotte CLT 16:26 → MKE 17:37AA 2846 6h 38m 96% 62%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON