Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 12 nonstops
Tomorrow: AA 2957 at 07:00 is the safest bet, 15% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 17–22%.
Against a calm day
26%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 24% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 2957 American Flight history → | LAS 07:00 | CLT 14:35 | 15% | 4% | 1.2% | 92% |
| AA 2751 American Flight history → | LAS 23:45 | CLT 07:04 | 17% | 4% | 1.3% | 91% |
| AA 1665 American Flight history → | LAS 08:00 | CLT 15:34 | 20% | 5% | 1.2% | 88% |
| AA 1454 American Flight history → | LAS 22:41 | CLT 06:00 | 22% | 5% | 1.3% | 82% |
| AA 2330 American | LAS 00:01 | CLT 06:58 | 24% | 4% | 0.5% | no record |
| AA 2030 American Flight history → | LAS 09:36 | CLT 17:17 | 25% | 6% | 1.2% | 85% |
| AA 1545 American | LAS 10:37 | CLT 17:47 | 25% | 6% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 2100 American | LAS 09:36 | CLT 16:46 | 25% | 5% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 8 American | LAS 07:55 | CLT 15:02 | 26% | 5% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 2981 American Flight history → | LAS 12:25 | CLT 19:47 | 33% | 8% | 1.2% | 93%worse than usual |
| AA 2038 American Flight history → | LAS 13:56 | CLT 21:36 | 38% | 10% | 1.2% | 69% |
| AA 2470 American Flight history → | LAS 14:06 | CLT 21:31 | 38% | 9% | 1.2% | 84%worse than usual |
Alternatives with one stop that day
All connections →About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON