tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 6366 American flown by SkyWest Flight history → LAX 09:36 TUL 14:51 9% 6% 0.5% 96%
OO 6286 SkyWest LAX 09:58 TUL 15:11 11% 7% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → LAX 05:00 → DEN 08:22UA 1010 1h 42m Denver DEN 10:04 → TUL 12:59UA 5315 · flown by SkyWest 5h 59m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → LAX 00:13 → ORD 06:32UA 729 2h 13m Chicago ORD 08:45 → TUL 11:03UA 5795 · flown by SkyWest 8h 50m 98% 88%
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:04 → DFW 05:17AA 2490 1h 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:10 → TUL 08:22AA 3426 · flown by Envoy 6h 18m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → LAX 05:20 → LAS 06:35WN 2403 1h 48m Las Vegas LAS 08:23 → TUL 13:02WN 126 5h 42m 100% 88%
SouthwestDetails → LAX 05:55 → DEN 09:20WN 2943 1h 15m Denver DEN 10:35 → TUL 13:18WN 1776 5h 23m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → LAX 08:00 → ORD 14:27AA 1598 2h 33m Chicago ORD 17:00 → TUL 19:06AA 3827 · flown by Envoy 9h 06m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → LAX 00:40 → ORD 07:06AA 2919 2h 34m Chicago ORD 09:40 → TUL 11:44AA 4135 · flown by Envoy 9h 04m 95% 86%
UnitedDetails → LAX 00:51 → IAH 06:12UA 491 1h 14m Houston IAH 07:26 → TUL 09:09UA 5325 · flown by SkyWest 6h 18m 95% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → LAX 01:10 → DFW 06:20AA 1445 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:10 → TUL 08:22AA 3426 · flown by Envoy 5h 12m 69% 60%
AmericanDetails → LAX 16:39 → PHX 18:10AA 2032 54m Phoenix PHX 19:04 → TUL 23:30AA 4037 · flown by Envoy 4h 51m 61% 47%
AmericanDetails → LAX 13:53 → DFW 19:14AA 2041 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:04 → TUL 21:10AA 1514 5h 17m 65% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON