tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 379 Southwest Flight history → MCI 14:25 FLL 18:30 16% 5% 0.4% 58%
G4 487 Allegiant MCI 09:16 FLL 13:18 17% 6% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635 56m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 6h 02m 96% 90%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 05:15 → MDW 06:40WN 4276 2h 10m Chicago MDW 08:50 → FLL 12:49WN 1411 6h 34m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MCI 06:25 → DTW 09:23DL 1256 3h 07m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 8h 09m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204 3h 48m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 48m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → ORD 07:58UA 5485 · flown by SkyWest 3h 01m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 13m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → MCI 07:53 → ORD 09:45UA 1491 2h 59m Chicago ORD 12:44 → FLL 16:51UA 1294 7h 58m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355 3h 01m Denver DEN 09:57 → FLL 16:03UA 1214 9h 03m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCI 07:05 → SLC 08:41DL 2897 2h 04m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745 9h 23m 99% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MCI 13:26 → PHL 17:15AA 869 1h 15m Philadelphia PHL 18:30 → FLL 21:24AA 2185 6h 58m 70% 50%
FrontierDetails → MCI 18:07 → ATL 21:45F9 3500 1h 03m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → FLL 00:44 +1F9 2174 5h 37m 66% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON