tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:11 pm at Kansas City)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2583 Southwest Flight history → MCI 14:55 SAT 16:55 17% 3% 0.1% 73%
WN 1498 Southwest MCI 18:05 SAT 20:11 17% 4% 0.1% no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MCI 18:10 → STL 19:15WN 4341 3h 00m St Louis STL 22:15 → SAT 00:25 +1WN 3979 6h 15m 98% 76%
UnitedDetails → MCI 13:32 → DEN 14:27UA 708 3h 12m Denver DEN 17:39 → SAT 20:54UA 2819 7h 22m 99% 74%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 17:35 → MDW 19:00WN 2029 2h 20m Chicago MDW 21:20 → SAT 00:10 +1WN 2982 6h 35m 96% 72%
UnitedDetails → MCI 17:24 → DEN 18:25UA 2123 2h 14m Denver DEN 20:39 → SAT 23:55UA 395 6h 31m 95% 70%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 17:15 → DEN 18:10WN 1146 2h 43m Denver DEN 20:53 → SAT 00:09 +1WN 2607 6h 54m 98% 68%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 15:05 → DEN 15:55WN 1563 1h 45m Denver DEN 17:40 → SAT 21:05WN 1708 6h 00m 94% 67%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 18:10 → BNA 19:45WN 4269 2h 30m Nashville BNA 22:15 → SAT 00:43 +1WN 713 6h 33m 99% 67%
SouthwestDetails → MCI 18:30 → PHX 19:15WN 2580 1h 50m Phoenix PHX 21:05 → SAT 01:20 +1WN 3328 6h 50m 97% 65%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MCI 18:23 → IAH 20:53UA 6113 · flown by Mesa 47m Houston IAH 21:40 → SAT 22:42UA 2198 4h 19m 62% 42%
AmericanDetails → MCI 19:13 → DFW 21:09AA 4165 · flown by Envoy 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:56 → SAT 23:04AA 3097 3h 51m 66% 40%
AmericanDetails → MCI 17:12 → DFW 18:58AA 3030 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:55 → SAT 21:03AA 546 3h 51m 64% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON