Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 8:05 am at Miami)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, AA 3680 at 21:12, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 3680 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	MIA 21:12	OKC 23:34	18%	4%	0.6%	83%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	MIA 08:48 → IAH 10:42UA 2417	1h 28m Houston	IAH 12:10 → OKC 13:50UA 6180 · flown by Mesa	6h 02m	95%	86%
United Details →	MIA 12:29 → IAH 14:23UA 470	2h 12m Houston	IAH 16:35 → OKC 18:15UA 6334 · flown by Mesa	6h 46m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:51 → ATL 18:57DL 1323	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423	8h 01m	99%	82%
American Details →	MIA 08:29 → ORD 11:00AA 1431	1h 08m Chicago	ORD 12:08 → OKC 14:43AA 6337 · flown by SkyWest	7h 14m	91%	75%
American Details →	MIA 12:18 → DFW 14:39AA 3019	3h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:34 → OKC 19:39AA 3727 · flown by Envoy	8h 21m	96%	74%
American Details →	MIA 08:42 → DFW 10:22AA 1679	2h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:20 → OKC 14:34AA 5362 · flown by PSA	6h 52m	100%	73%
United Details →	MIA 15:44 → DEN 18:23UA 2852	2h 19m Denver	DEN 20:42 → OKC 23:29UA 4727 · flown by SkyWest	8h 45m	95%	71%
American Details →	MIA 09:38 → DFW 11:54AA 1824	3h 10m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:04 → OKC 16:08AA 3730 · flown by Envoy	7h 30m	98%	71%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	MIA 16:20 → DEN 18:40WN 2926	1h 25m Denver	DEN 20:05 → OKC 22:45WN 175	7h 25m	70%	51%
United Details →	MIA 16:10 → ORD 18:53UA 2106	52m Chicago	ORD 19:45 → OKC 22:17UA 5392 · flown by SkyWest	7h 07m	66%	50%
American Details →	MIA 14:29 → DFW 16:51AA 2762	49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:40 → OKC 18:45AA 3729 · flown by Envoy	5h 16m	71%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON