tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 873 Southwest MKE 06:30 DAL 09:03 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 2939 Southwest Flight history → MKE 10:05 DAL 12:25 7% 1% 0.5% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MKE 05:40 → MDW 06:30WN 3178 3h 11m Chicago MDW 09:41 → DAL 12:03WN 2864 6h 23m 100% 90%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 05:15 → DEN 06:50WN 2942 1h 55m Denver DEN 08:45 → DAL 11:40WN 1360 6h 25m 100% 90%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 07:40 → BNA 09:10WN 4598 3h 10m Nashville BNA 12:20 → DAL 14:15WN 5046 6h 35m 100% 86%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 07:20 → STL 08:40WN 2327 1h 05m St Louis STL 09:45 → DAL 11:25WN 4196 4h 05m 94% 85%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 06:00 → AUS 08:40WN 4866 3h 30m Austin AUS 12:10 → DAL 13:15WN 910 7h 15m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 05:25 → PHX 07:05WN 2954 1h 01m Phoenix PHX 08:06 → DAL 12:34WN 1469 7h 09m 96% 85%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 11:40 → MCI 13:10WN 1702 3h 45m Kansas City MCI 16:55 → DAL 18:30WN 1323 6h 50m 100% 84%
SouthwestDetails → MKE 10:25 → BNA 11:55WN 445 1h 40m Nashville BNA 13:35 → DAL 15:30WN 488 5h 05m 100% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → MKE 05:40 → MDW 06:30WN 3178 46m Chicago MDW 07:16 → DAL 09:38WN 1426 3h 58m 69% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON