tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 10:41 am at Minneapolis)
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 730 at 18:11, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today

All 1 nonstop →
DL 730 Delta Flight history → MSP 18:11 ABQ 19:55 15% 5% 0.1% 77%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 3h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 7h 43m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531 3h 02m Chicago ORD 20:00 → ABQ 22:34UA 3640 · flown by Republic 8h 18m 95% 82%
UnitedDetails → MSP 12:17 → IAD 15:50UA 3695 · flown by Republic 1h 59m Dulles IAD 17:49 → ABQ 20:16UA 2070 8h 59m 100% 81%
SouthwestDetails → MSP 11:35 → DEN 12:35WN 4346 3h 00m Denver DEN 15:35 → ABQ 17:00WN 160 6h 25m 100% 77%
DeltaDetails → MSP 15:45 → LAX 17:35DL 2114 3h 12m Los Angeles LAX 20:47 → ABQ 23:48DL 4098 · flown by SkyWest 9h 03m 100% 76%
SouthwestDetails → MSP 16:15 → MDW 17:45WN 2971 3h 45m Chicago MDW 21:30 → ABQ 23:27WN 2010 8h 12m 99% 74%
UnitedDetails → MSP 16:51 → DEN 18:17UA 2272 2h 54m Denver DEN 21:11 → ABQ 22:44UA 4761 · flown by SkyWest 6h 53m 96% 72%
AmericanDetails → MSP 16:03 → ORD 17:59AA 4727 · flown by Republic 3h 28m Chicago ORD 21:27 → ABQ 23:26AA 1182 8h 23m 100% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MSP 17:13 → ORD 19:00UA 658 1h 00m Chicago ORD 20:00 → ABQ 22:34UA 3640 · flown by Republic 6h 21m 72% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON