tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 11:42 am at Minneapolis); 1 already left
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:29, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Colorado Springs on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 69% of the time.

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 1h 32m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 06m 93% 81%
UnitedDetails → MSP 18:23 → DEN 19:45UA 467 3h 24m Denver DEN 23:09 → COS 23:59UA 4745 · flown by SkyWest 6h 36m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → MSP 13:36 → DEN 14:48UA 1305 2h 07m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 5h 16m 98% 72%
UnitedDetails → MSP 15:16 → ORD 16:58UA 1531 2h 47m Chicago ORD 19:45 → COS 21:55UA 4638 · flown by SkyWest 7h 39m 95% 67%
UnitedDetails → MSP 16:51 → DEN 18:17UA 2272 2h 53m Denver DEN 21:10 → COS 22:06UA 4650 · flown by SkyWest 6h 15m 96% 66%
SouthwestDetails → MSP 19:00 → DEN 20:10WN 3063 57m Denver DEN 21:07 → COS 21:55WN 4402 3h 55m 77% 46%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607 52m Salt Lake City SLC 20:59 → COS 22:41DL 3788 · flown by SkyWest 5h 28m 69% 59%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON