tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 73% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 673 Delta Flight history → MSP 08:50 FLL 13:25 6% 2% 0.5% 93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MSP 05:00 → MDW 06:30WN 2520 1h 20m Chicago MDW 07:50 → FLL 11:55WN 4409 5h 55m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:14 → CVG 10:03DL 954 2h 15m Hebron CVG 12:18 → FLL 14:52DL 2776 6h 38m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461 3h 43m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 8h 30m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307 3h 15m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 8h 13m 100% 87%
SouthwestDetails → MSP 07:05 → BNA 09:10WN 1528 2h 05m Nashville BNA 11:15 → FLL 14:35WN 4847 6h 30m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041 3h 03m Denver DEN 09:56 → FLL 16:02UA 1214 9h 17m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → MSP 07:34 → ORD 09:18UA 567 3h 25m Chicago ORD 12:43 → FLL 16:50UA 1294 8h 16m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → MSP 07:00 → RDU 10:31DL 2783 1h 28m Raleigh/Durham RDU 11:59 → FLL 14:05DL 1038 6h 05m 97% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON