Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 2:19 pm at Minneapolis)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 762 at 18:25, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 762 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:25	PSC 19:45	19%	6%	0.1%	69%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	7h 41m	99%	86%
United Details →	MSP 17:13 → SFO 19:18UA 552	3h 22m San Francisco	SFO 22:40 → PSC 00:50 +1UA 6044 · flown by SkyWest	9h 37m	94%	68%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:55 → SEA 20:48DL 881	1h 57m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → PSC 23:53DL 4017 · flown by SkyWest	6h 58m	92%	64%
Alaska Details →	MSP 18:17 → PDX 20:07AS 1434	1h 43m Portland	PDX 21:50 → PSC 22:44AS 3066 · flown by SkyWest	6h 27m	92%	62%
United Details →	MSP 16:51 → DEN 18:17UA 2272	1h 07m Denver	DEN 19:24 → PSC 20:52UA 1913	6h 01m	84%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON