Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 5:34 am at Myrtle Beach)

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today: one nonstop, DL 2194 at 11:00, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


DL 2194 Delta Flight history →	MYR 11:00	LGA 12:47	18%	3%	0.4%	80%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 16:16 → ATL 17:39DL 2467	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520	7h 08m	97%	74%
Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 09:30 → LGA 11:43DL 557	5h 43m	94%	74%
Southwest Details →	MYR 07:25 → MDW 08:30WN 4068	58m Chicago	MDW 09:28 → LGA 12:35WN 147	5h 10m	89%	74%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 46m Charlotte	CLT 11:44 → LGA 13:43AA 2796	6h 52m	99%	72%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 15:30 → LGA 17:49DL 433	6h 07m	97%	72%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → LGA 20:27DL 434	6h 36m	92%	69%
American Details →	MYR 09:06 → CLT 10:25AA 5555 · flown by PSA	2h 59m Charlotte	CLT 13:24 → LGA 15:25AA 2068	6h 19m	96%	66%
American Details →	MYR 13:01 → CLT 14:14AA 5315 · flown by PSA	2h 12m Charlotte	CLT 16:26 → LGA 18:29AA 1722	5h 28m	95%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON