Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:34 pm at Oklahoma City); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 21–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 3108 Southwest Flight history →	OKC 16:15	BNA 18:00	21%	4%	0.1%	69%
WN 3227 Southwest	OKC 16:35	BNA 18:26	25%	4%	0.1%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	OKC 15:50 → MDW 17:40WN 3123	4h 00m Chicago	MDW 21:40 → BNA 23:10WN 4091	7h 20m	100%	79%
Southwest Details →	OKC 20:50 → LAS 21:25WN 3119	2h 03m Las Vegas	LAS 23:28 → BNA 05:04 +1WN 2251	8h 14m	96%	77%
United Details →	OKC 17:36 → ORD 20:05UA 5844 · flown by SkyWest	1h 38m Chicago	ORD 21:43 → BNA 23:28UA 314	5h 52m	91%	74%
Delta Details →	OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	6h 08m	96%	72%
American Details →	OKC 13:42 → ORD 16:08AA 6519 · flown by SkyWest	3h 32m Chicago	ORD 19:40 → BNA 21:25AA 6326 · flown by SkyWest	7h 43m	98%	71%
Southwest Details →	OKC 18:10 → HOU 19:40WN 3117	1h 25m Houston	HOU 21:05 → BNA 23:05WN 1958	4h 55m	89%	70%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:40 → DAL 17:45WN 1303	2h 45m Dallas	DAL 20:30 → BNA 22:24WN 4449	5h 44m	98%	66%
American Details →	OKC 19:18 → ORD 21:26AA 6484 · flown by SkyWest	1h 23m Chicago	ORD 22:49 → BNA 00:28 +1AA 2151	5h 10m	82%	62%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	OKC 19:10 → DEN 20:05WN 1188	50m Denver	DEN 20:55 → BNA 00:30 +1WN 2922	5h 20m	73%	49%
American Details →	OKC 13:45 → CLT 17:28AA 2220	46m Charlotte	CLT 18:14 → BNA 18:39AA 2402	4h 54m	73%	36%
American Details →	OKC 16:51 → DCA 20:59AA 5138 · flown by PSA	1h 01m Washington	DCA 22:00 → BNA 23:05AA 5513 · flown by PSA	6h 14m	61%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON