Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 12:01 pm at Oklahoma City); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 3108 Southwest Flight history →	OKC 16:15	BNA 18:00	20%	3%	0.1%	69%
WN 3227 Southwest	OKC 16:35	BNA 18:26	21%	3%	0.1%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	OKC 15:50 → MDW 17:40WN 3123	4h 00m Chicago	MDW 21:40 → BNA 23:10WN 4091	7h 20m	100%	80%
Southwest Details →	OKC 20:50 → LAS 21:25WN 3119	2h 03m Las Vegas	LAS 23:28 → BNA 05:04 +1WN 2251	8h 14m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	6h 08m	96%	75%
Southwest Details →	OKC 13:00 → DEN 13:35WN 3113	1h 55m Denver	DEN 15:30 → BNA 19:05WN 2597	6h 05m	100%	73%
United Details →	OKC 13:25 → ORD 15:50UA 5867 · flown by SkyWest	3h 07m Chicago	ORD 18:57 → BNA 20:30UA 739	7h 05m	98%	72%
United Details →	OKC 17:36 → ORD 20:05UA 5844 · flown by SkyWest	1h 38m Chicago	ORD 21:43 → BNA 23:28UA 314	5h 52m	91%	72%
Southwest Details →	OKC 13:07 → HOU 14:07WN 4760	3h 33m Houston	HOU 17:40 → BNA 19:38WN 2014	6h 31m	100%	71%
American Details →	OKC 13:42 → ORD 16:08AA 6519 · flown by SkyWest	1h 03m Chicago	ORD 17:11 → BNA 18:54AA 3383 · flown by Envoy	5h 12m	88%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	OKC 19:10 → DEN 20:05WN 1188	50m Denver	DEN 20:55 → BNA 00:30 +1WN 2922	5h 20m	74%	53%
American Details →	OKC 16:51 → DCA 20:59AA 5138 · flown by PSA	1h 01m Washington	DCA 22:00 → BNA 23:05AA 5513 · flown by PSA	6h 14m	65%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON