Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 6:49 am at Oklahoma City); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 21–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 392 Southwest	OKC 18:10	DAL 19:21	21%	4%	0.2%	no record
WN 1303 Southwest Flight history →	OKC 16:40	DAL 17:45	23%	4%	0.2%	50%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	OKC 07:05 → PHX 07:25WN 4201	1h 41m Phoenix	PHX 09:06 → DAL 13:35WN 3375	6h 30m	100%	88%
Southwest Details →	OKC 10:25 → AUS 11:40WN 295	2h 22m Austin	AUS 14:02 → DAL 15:12WN 3857	4h 47m	100%	84%
Southwest Details →	OKC 09:30 → DEN 10:10WN 3112	1h 30m Denver	DEN 11:40 → DAL 14:45WN 2354	5h 15m	97%	84%
Southwest Details →	OKC 06:50 → HOU 08:20WN 4767	1h 10m Houston	HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14	3h 45m	98%	83%
Southwest Details →	OKC 07:35 → BNA 09:20WN 3107	3h 00m Nashville	BNA 12:20 → DAL 14:15WN 5046	6h 40m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:15 → BNA 18:00WN 3108	3h 35m Nashville	BNA 21:35 → DAL 23:36WN 533	7h 21m	99%	80%
Southwest Details →	OKC 15:50 → MDW 17:40WN 3123	3h 00m Chicago	MDW 20:40 → DAL 22:55WN 1005	7h 05m	99%	79%
Southwest Details →	OKC 12:25 → HOU 13:55WN 4414	2h 05m Houston	HOU 16:00 → DAL 17:10WN 40	4h 45m	97%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	OKC 18:10 → HOU 19:40WN 3117	50m Houston	HOU 20:30 → DAL 21:40WN 54	3h 30m	71%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON