Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 3:24 pm at Oklahoma City); 4 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


WN 1242 Southwest	OKC 18:15	HOU 19:54	20%	6%	0.4%	no record
WN 3117 Southwest Flight history →	OKC 18:10	HOU 19:40	21%	6%	0.4%	65%

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	OKC 15:31 → DFW 16:13AA 2929	2h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:28 → HOU 20:05AA 3391 · flown by Envoy	4h 34m	91%	71%
Southwest Details →	OKC 15:50 → MDW 17:40WN 3123	1h 35m Chicago	MDW 19:15 → HOU 21:50WN 1431	6h 00m	95%	69%
Southwest Details →	OKC 19:10 → DEN 20:05WN 1188	2h 23m Denver	DEN 22:28 → HOU 01:55 +1WN 1601	6h 45m	96%	64%
American Details →	OKC 18:02 → DFW 19:15AA 3535 · flown by Envoy	3h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA	5h 54m	100%	63%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:40 → DAL 17:45WN 1303	2h 15m Dallas	DAL 20:00 → HOU 21:20WN 55	4h 40m	97%	55%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:15 → BNA 18:00WN 3108	1h 23m Nashville	BNA 19:23 → HOU 21:37WN 569	5h 22m	87%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON