Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:54 pm at Oklahoma City); 2 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops today


AA 6272 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	OKC 14:22	LAX 15:39	15%	6%	0.4%	97%worse than usual
OO 6461 SkyWest	OKC 14:32	LAX 15:09	21%	6%	0.4%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OKC 18:00 → SLC 19:38DL 3882 · flown by SkyWest	3h 07m Salt Lake City	SLC 22:45 → LAX 23:42DL 1197	7h 42m	99%	78%
United Details →	OKC 18:45 → DEN 19:31UA 4768 · flown by SkyWest	1h 49m Denver	DEN 21:20 → LAX 22:55UA 531	6h 10m	91%	66%
United Details →	OKC 17:36 → ORD 20:05UA 5844 · flown by SkyWest	1h 25m Chicago	ORD 21:30 → LAX 00:09 +1UA 661	8h 33m	89%	66%
Southwest Details →	OKC 18:10 → HOU 19:40WN 3117	2h 50m Houston	HOU 22:30 → LAX 23:56WN 4748	7h 46m	97%	60%
Southwest Details →	OKC 20:50 → LAS 21:25WN 3119	1h 23m Las Vegas	LAS 22:48 → LAX 00:02 +1WN 2318	5h 12m	90%	60%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:40 → DAL 17:45WN 1303	2h 55m Dallas	DAL 20:40 → LAX 21:50WN 1329	7h 10m	98%	57%
Delta Details →	OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862	2h 34m Atlanta	ATL 23:03 → LAX 00:50 +1DL 8783	9h 43m	96%	57%
American Details →	OKC 18:15 → PHX 18:42AA 6276 · flown by SkyWest	1h 56m Phoenix	PHX 20:38 → LAX 22:07AA 3204	5h 52m	91%	56%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	OKC 15:04 → DFW 16:17AA 5362 · flown by PSA	1h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:30 → LAX 18:44AA 1972	5h 40m	69%	39%
American Details →	OKC 18:02 → DFW 19:15AA 3535 · flown by Envoy	51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:06 → LAX 21:30AA 2931	5h 28m	57%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON