Today: only flights still to leave (it’s 1:25 pm at Oklahoma City); 1 already left

Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Today looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 36%, against 14% on a calm day. Safest: WN 3120 at 14:00, 32%.

Nonstops today


WN 3120 Southwest Flight history →	OKC 14:00	MCO 17:45	32%	10%	0.8%	61%
WN 3262 Southwest	OKC 16:30	MCO 20:12	40%	13%	0.8%	no record

Best connections today, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	OKC 18:10 → HOU 19:40WN 3117	2h 10m Houston	HOU 21:50 → MCO 01:11 +1WN 3075	6h 01m	96%	70%
Southwest Details →	OKC 15:50 → MDW 17:40WN 3123	3h 15m Chicago	MDW 20:55 → MCO 00:35 +1WN 2821	7h 45m	99%	70%
American Details →	OKC 13:42 → ORD 16:08AA 6519 · flown by SkyWest	2h 37m Chicago	ORD 18:45 → MCO 22:40AA 3176	7h 58m	95%	70%
Southwest Details →	OKC 20:50 → LAS 21:25WN 3119	1h 25m Las Vegas	LAS 22:50 → MCO 06:25 +1WN 4590	8h 35m	86%	66%
American Details →	OKC 13:45 → CLT 17:28AA 2220	3h 55m Charlotte	CLT 21:23 → MCO 23:10AA 941	8h 25m	95%	63%
United Details →	OKC 13:43 → IAH 15:25UA 5531 · flown by SkyWest	3h 01m Houston	IAH 18:26 → MCO 21:58UA 2451	7h 15m	96%	60%
Frontier Details →	OKC 15:44 → DEN 16:38F9 1863	2h 43m Denver	DEN 19:21 → MCO 01:05 +1F9 2520	8h 21m	97%	57%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:40 → DAL 17:45WN 1303	2h 35m Dallas	DAL 20:20 → MCO 00:00 +1WN 50	6h 20m	98%	56%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	OKC 21:45 → PHX 22:00WN 3125	56m Phoenix	PHX 22:56 → MCO 06:07 +1WN 3424	7h 22m	65%	50%
Southwest Details →	OKC 16:40 → DAL 17:45WN 1303	50m Dallas	DAL 18:35 → MCO 22:15WN 463	4h 35m	65%	37%
American Details →	OKC 15:04 → DFW 16:17AA 5362 · flown by PSA	1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:18 → MCO 21:10AA 2974	5h 06m	63%	32%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON